По поводу средневзвешенной по поверхности Земли температуры:
"It is not even called global warming any more because a chaotic open system steered far from equilibrium does not have the property of the mean temperature that is in any way meaningful. It is called "climate change" nowadays. I would foolish to argue that climate does not change. It always changed and it always will change, with or without the GHG emissions. Another matter is the ability to predict such changes and extrapolate these into the future and the wisdom of acting on such extrapolations. I am not going to fear the fear itself.
BTW, there is 1:3 chance (even from the current models) that the next decade will be cooler than this one (in terms of the estimated global mean average surface temperature, the sea included), so I would not bet my bossom dollar on the warming trend even uf I were the committed believer in the power of supercomputer simulations. Gambling on horses is a surer thing..."
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"It is not even called global warming any more because a chaotic open system steered far from equilibrium does not have the property of the mean temperature that is in any way meaningful. It is called "climate change" nowadays. I would foolish to argue that climate does not change. It always changed and it always will change, with or without the GHG emissions. Another matter is the ability to predict such changes and extrapolate these into the future and the wisdom of acting on such extrapolations. I am not going to fear the fear itself.
BTW, there is 1:3 chance (even from the current models) that the next decade will be cooler than this one (in terms of the estimated global mean average surface temperature, the sea included), so I would not bet my bossom dollar on the warming trend even uf I were the committed believer in the power of supercomputer simulations. Gambling on horses is a surer thing..."
http://shkrobius.livejournal.com/200993.html?thread=1259041#t1259041